/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fmonlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fbrelog.png)
-
Leonardo Mancuso
70'
-
Marco D'Alessandro
90'+4'
-
Matteo Tramoni
7'
-
Matthieu Huard
74'
Monza vs Brescia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F03%2Fgiovanni-stroppa.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result
Monza
46.16%
▲
(+2.47)
Draw
26.52%
▼
(-0.08)
Brescia
27.32%
▼
(-2.40)
Both Teams to Score:
49.21%
▼
(-1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.93%
▼
(-0.91)
Under 2.5
55.07%
▲
(+0.91)
Over 3.5
23.67%
▼
(-0.76)
Under 3.5
76.33%
▲
(+0.75)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5
76.18%
▲
(+0.80)
Under 0.5
23.82%
▼
(-0.80)
Over 1.5
42.01%
▲
(+1.14)
Under 1.5
57.99%
▼
(-1.14)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5
64.6%
▼
(-2.34)
Under 0.5
35.4%
▲
(+2.34)
Over 1.5
27.84%
▼
(-2.51)
Under 1.5
72.16%
▲
(+2.51)
Score analysis
Monza
46.15%
Draw
26.52%
Brescia
27.32%
Monza
1-0
@
12.09%
▲
(+0.69)
2-1 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.69)
3-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.18)
3-0 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.42)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 46.15%
2-1 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.69)
3-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.18)
3-0 @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.42)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 46.15%
Draw
1-1
@
12.56%
▼
(-0.06)
0-0 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.52%
0-0 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.52%
Brescia
0-1
@
8.76%
▼
(-0.26)
1-2 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.47)
0-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.44)
1-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.32)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 27.32%
1-2 @ 6.52% ▼ (-0.47)
0-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.44)
1-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.32)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 27.32%
