Serie B | 2nd Leg

May 22, 2022 at 8pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
2 - 1
Brescia

(Monza win 4-2 on aggregate)

Mancuso (70'), D'Alessandro (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tramoni (7')
Huard (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie B clash between Monza and Brescia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Brescia
46.16% ( 2.47)	26.52% ( -0.07)	27.32% ( -2.4)

Both teams to score 49.21% (

-1.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.93% (

-0.91)

55.07% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.67% (

-0.75)

76.33% (

0.75)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.18% (

0.8)

23.82% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.01% (

1.13)

57.99% (

-1.14)

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.6% (

-2.34)

35.4% (

2.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.84% (

-2.51)

72.16% (

2.5)

Score Analysis

Monza 46.15%

Brescia 27.32%

Draw 26.52%

Monza	Draw	Brescia
1-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.68) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.41) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.15%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.47) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.32%