Monza
Serie B | 1st Leg
May 26, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
U-Power Stadium

Monza
2 - 1
Pisa

Mota (9'), Gytkjaer (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Berra (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie B playoff final first-leg clash between Monza and Pisa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

Last Six:
Last Game: Pisa 3-4 Monza (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Pisa

Last Six:
Last Game: Pisa 3-4 Monza (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawPisa
53.88%24.72%21.41%
Both teams to score 48.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.05%52.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.45%74.55%
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4%19.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45%51.55%
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.42%39.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.73%76.27%
Score Analysis
    Monza 53.87%
    Pisa 21.41%
    Draw 24.71%
MonzaDrawPisa
1-0 @ 12.64%
2-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 5.6%
3-1 @ 5.19%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 53.87%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 7.76%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 7.19%
1-2 @ 5.43%
0-2 @ 3.33%
1-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 21.41%

How you voted: Monza vs Pisa

Monza
58.3%
Draw
22.2%
Pisa
19.4%
36
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 1pm
Monza
1-2
Pisa
Valoti (8')
Valoti (83'), Augusto (90+2')
Puscas (18'), Pereira (65' og.)
Puscas (44'), Mastinu (54'), Hermannsson (75'), Lucca (90+1')
Sep 21, 2021 7.30pm
Pisa
2-1
Monza
Sibilli (7'), Lucca (53')
Caracciolo (44'), Hermannsson (78'), Masucci (85')
Mota (64')
Mazzitelli (13'), Valoti (37'), Pepin (71'), Augusto (81')
Caldirola (47')
Feb 12, 2021 8pm
Monza
0-2
Pisa

Barilla (4'), Frattesi (82'), Bellusci (90+3')
Palombi (7', 12')
Mazzitelli (26'), Quaini (31'), Birindelli (53')
Oct 20, 2020 8pm
Pisa
1-1
Monza
Marconi (81')
Lisi (25'), Caracciolo (74'), Pisano (83')
Frattesi (46')
Bellusci (17'), Armellino (82')