Monza
Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 7, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Frosinone logo

Monza
3 - 2
Frosinone

Valoti (25' pen.), Caprari (43' pen.), Gytkjaer (83')
Santos (62'), Birindelli (90+1'), Pepin (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Haoudi (52'), Lhassine Kone (56')
Oyono (29'), Lulic (73')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Monza and Frosinone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

Last Six:
    Last Game: Pisa 3-4 Monza (0-0 pen.)
    Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B

    Frosinone

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Frosinone 1-2 Pisa
      Friday, May 6 at 7.30pm in Serie B

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 20.6%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

      Result
      MonzaDrawFrosinone
      57.91% (0.213 0.21)21.49% (-0.237 -0.24)20.6% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
      Both teams to score 57.73% (0.872 0.87)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      59.78% (1.129 1.13)40.21% (-1.127 -1.13)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      37.41% (1.155 1.15)62.58% (-1.155 -1.16)
      Monza Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      86.34% (0.44 0.44)13.66% (-0.439 -0.44)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      59.15% (0.863 0.86)40.85% (-0.862 -0.86)
      Frosinone Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      66.87% (0.672 0.67)33.13% (-0.673 -0.67)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      30.27% (0.738 0.74)69.73% (-0.73699999999999 -0.74)
      Score Analysis
          Monza 57.91%
          Frosinone 20.61%
          Draw 21.49%
      MonzaDrawFrosinone
      2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
      1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.326 -0.33)
      2-0 @ 8.97% (-0.178 -0.18)
      3-1 @ 6.57% (0.095 0.09)
      3-0 @ 5.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
      3-2 @ 3.63% (0.118 0.12)
      4-1 @ 3.27% (0.099 0.1)
      4-0 @ 2.96% (0.036 0.04)
      4-2 @ 1.81% (0.086 0.09)
      5-1 @ 1.3% (0.059 0.06)
      5-0 @ 1.18% (0.033 0.03)
      Other @ 3.34%
      Total : 57.91%
      		1-1 @ 9.95% (-0.168 -0.17)
      2-2 @ 5.47% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
      0-0 @ 4.53% (-0.24 -0.24)
      3-3 @ 1.34% (0.067 0.07)
      Other @ 0.2%
      Total : 21.49%
      		1-2 @ 5.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
      0-1 @ 5% (-0.169 -0.17)
      0-2 @ 2.76% (-0.042 -0.04)
      1-3 @ 2.02% (0.039 0.04)
      2-3 @ 2.02% (0.07 0.07)
      0-3 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
      Other @ 2.29%
      Total : 20.61%

      Head to Head
      Apr 25, 2022 2pm
      Frosinone
      4-1
      Monza
      Ciano (37'), Zerbin (40'), Di Gregorio (49' og.), Canotto (90+1')
      Gatti (16'), Cotali (17'), Boloca (75')
      Mota (13')
      Donati (52'), Pepin (89')
      Dec 11, 2021 1pm
      Monza
      3-2
      Frosinone
      Augusto (70'), Ciurria (87'), Mazzitelli (90+2' pen.)
      Marrone (18')
      Garritano (53'), Zerbin (62')
      Zerbin (20'), Boloca (45+1'), Ricci (84')
      Mar 2, 2021 4pm
      Frosinone
      2-2
      Monza
      Iemmello (17'), Salvi (47')
      Gori (31'), Salvi (34'), Maiello (50'), Vitale (72')
      Paletta (19'), Gytkjaer (43')
      Bellusci (65'), Diaw (72'), Maric (75')
      Nov 7, 2020 1pm
      Monza
      2-0
      Frosinone
      Gytkjaer (50'), Mota (70')
      Fossati (45'), Augusto (67'), Armellino (79')

      Kastanos (14'), Dionisi (14')