/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fmonlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ffrolog.png)
-
Mattia Valoti
25'
-
Gianluca Caprari
43'
-
Marlon Santos
62'
-
Christian Gytkjaer
83'
-
Samuele Birindelli
90'+1'
-
Pepin
90'+3'
-
Anthony Oyono
29'
-
Hamza Haoudi
52'
-
Ben Lhassine Kone
56'
-
Karlo Lulic
73'
Monza vs Frosinone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result
Monza
57.91%
▲
(+0.22)
Draw
21.49%
▼
(-0.24)
Frosinone
20.6%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
57.73%
▲
(+0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.78%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 2.5
40.21%
▼
(-1.13)
Over 3.5
37.41%
▲
(+1.16)
Under 3.5
62.58%
▼
(-1.16)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5
86.34%
▲
(+0.44)
Under 0.5
13.66%
▼
(-0.44)
Over 1.5
59.15%
▲
(+0.87)
Under 1.5
40.85%
▼
(-0.87)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5
66.87%
▲
(+0.68)
Under 0.5
33.13%
▼
(-0.68)
Over 1.5
30.27%
▲
(+0.74)
Under 1.5
69.73%
▼
(-0.74)
Score analysis
Monza
57.91%
Draw
21.49%
Frosinone
20.61%
Monza
2-1
@
9.91%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.33)
2-0 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.09)
5-1 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 57.91%
1-0 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.33)
2-0 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.09)
5-1 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 57.91%
Draw
1-1
@
9.95%
▼
(-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.49%
2-2 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 4.53% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.49%
Frosinone
1-2
@
5.5%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 5% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 20.61%
0-1 @ 5% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 20.61%