| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Spezia | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.87%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Napoli |
| 20.63% ( | 22.95% ( | 56.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.31% ( | 46.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( | 68.95% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.19% ( | 36.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.4% | 73.59% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.65% ( | 16.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.05% ( | 45.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 6.01% ( 2-1 @ 5.44% ( 2-0 @ 3.01% ( 3-1 @ 1.81% ( 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.71% Total : 20.63% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 3-3 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.95% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0-2 @ 9.87% ( 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0-3 @ 5.96% ( 1-3 @ 5.96% ( 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0-4 @ 2.7% ( 1-4 @ 2.7% ( 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0-5 @ 0.98% ( 1-5 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 56.41% |