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Hellas Verona logo
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Jun 23, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Marc Antonio Bentegodi
Napoli logo

Hellas Verona
0 - 2
Napoli


Faraoni (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Milik (38'), Lozano (90')
Koulibaly (58')

Preview: Hellas Verona vs. Napoli - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A fixture between Hellas Verona and Napoli, including team news and predicted lineups.

Hellas Verona and Napoli square off in Serie A on Tuesday evening with just one point separating the two teams in the table.

However, having closed the gap with a 2-1 win over Cagliari at the weekend, Verona will feel like they have momentum in their favour against the newly-crowned Coppa Italia champions.


Match preview

Napoli players celebrate winning the Coppa Italia on June 17, 2020© Reuters

While Gennaro Gattuso has only made a mixed impact at Stadio San Paolo in December, the feisty Italian has already delivered a piece of silverware for his new club.

Although Napoli were arguably the underdogs heading into meetings with Inter Milan and Juventus in the Coppa Italia, they rose to the occasion on both occasions to claim the trophy for the sixth time in their history.

Despite the success over Juve coming via a penalty shootout, Gattuso will take pride and confidence from keeping a clean sheet against the Serie A leaders for 90 minutes.

With a place in the Europa League having already been guaranteed for next season, Napoli can now attack the rest of the season as they bid to close the gap on fourth-placed Atalanta BC.

Even with 12 matches remaining, that appears an unlikely occurrence, but the scenario is set up for Gattuso to take more risks with his team selection and start planning for an improved league campaign in 2020-21.

As far as Verona are concerned, they will want to build on an excellent season which sees the club sit in seventh place and hold the fourth-best defensive record in the division.

The weekend's success over Cagliari was far from convincing, but Ivan Juric would have been delighted with the application of his side after Fabio Borini's first-half dismissal.

The result has kept ‎I Gialloblu on the coattails of their next opponents and there will be a belief within the ranks that they can continue to ride a crest of a wave after last year's promotion from Serie B.

If there is one criticism of Verona, it is their lack of goals, with Samuel Di Carmine's double against Cagliari making him the club's top scorer with five strikes.

Nevertheless, this close-knit group will take every match as it comes, and a win over Napoli on Tuesday evening would not go unnoticed by the likes of Roma and Atalanta above them.

Hellas Verona Serie A form: DDWDLW

Napoli Serie A form: WWLWWW
Napoli form (all competitions): WWDWDD


Team News

Arkadiusz Milik pictured for Napoli in December 2019© Reuters

Given the level of their last performance, Gattuso is unlikely to make many alterations to his Napoli starting lineup.

Having only been introduced as a substitute against Juve, Arkadiusz Milik could be restored to the centre of the attack, resulting in Dries Mertens moving out wide.

Matteo Politano is also pushing for a start after impressing during the second half of the Coppa Italia final.

With Borini serving a ban, Juric may hand a recall to Mattia Zaccagni, providing that he retains his 3-4-2-1 formation.

Miguel Veloso is also in contention after coming through 45 minutes as a substitute at the weekend.

Hellas Verona possible starting lineup:
Silvestri; Rrahmani, Kumbulla, Empereur; Faraoni, Badu, Amrabat, Lazovic; Verre, Zaccagni; Di Carmine

Napoli possible starting lineup:
Meret; Lorenzo, Maksimovic, Koulibaly, Rui; Ruiz, Demme, Zielinski; Mertens, Milik, Insigne


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Hellas Verona 1-1 Napoli

With both clubs wary of suffering a potentially-pivotal defeat, this has got a tight match written all over it. For large parts, there may be something of an impasse with regards to attacking intent, and that may lead to a low-scoring draw being played out.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.05%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.


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Napoli players celebrate winning the Coppa Italia on June 17, 2020
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29244171145776
2AC Milan29195555332262
3Juventus29178444232159
4Bologna29159542251754
5Roma29156855352051
6Atalanta BCAtalanta28145951321947
7Napoli29129844331145
8Fiorentina2812794132943
9Lazio29134123633343
10Monza2911993236-442
11Torino29101182826241
12Genoa29810113136-534
13Lecce29610132645-1928
14Udinese29415102844-1627
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2968152639-1326
16CagliariCagliari2968152950-2126
17Empoli2967162243-2125
18FrosinoneFrosinone2966173760-2324
19SassuoloSassuolo2965183356-2323
20Salernitana2928192359-3614


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