| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Juventus | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Roma | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Hellas Verona | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Lecce | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.65%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Cremonese |
| 72.09% ( | 17.54% ( | 10.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.69% ( | 43.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.3% ( | 65.7% ( |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.36% ( | 10.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.53% ( | 34.47% ( |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.1% ( | 48.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.11% ( | 83.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Cremonese |
| 2-0 @ 13.05% ( 1-0 @ 11.65% ( 3-0 @ 9.76% ( 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 4-0 @ 5.47% ( 4-1 @ 3.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 5-0 @ 2.45% ( 5-1 @ 1.75% ( 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 6-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 72.08% | 1-1 @ 8.34% ( 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 2-2 @ 3.34% ( Other @ 0.66% Total : 17.54% | 0-1 @ 3.72% ( 1-2 @ 2.98% ( 0-2 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 10.37% |