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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 22, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Cremonese

Roma
1 - 0
Cremonese

Smalling (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Aiwu (24'), Zanimacchia (50'), Bianchetti (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Roma and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.65%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawCremonese
72.09% (0.154 0.15)17.54% (0.225 0.23)10.37% (-0.379 -0.38)
Both teams to score 45.66% (-2.18 -2.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.69% (-2.142 -2.14)43.3% (2.141 2.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.3% (-2.145 -2.15)65.7% (2.143 2.14)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.36% (-0.533 -0.53)10.63% (0.533 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.53% (-1.206 -1.21)34.47% (1.206 1.21)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.1% (-2.122 -2.12)48.9% (2.122 2.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.11% (-1.567 -1.57)83.88% (1.566 1.57)
Score Analysis
    Roma 72.08%
    Cremonese 10.37%
    Draw 17.54%
RomaDrawCremonese
2-0 @ 13.05% (0.64 0.64)
1-0 @ 11.65% (0.82 0.82)
3-0 @ 9.76% (0.267 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.98% (-0.23 -0.23)
4-0 @ 5.47% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.91% (-0.221 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.242 -0.24)
5-0 @ 2.45% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.17 -0.17)
6-0 @ 0.92% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 72.08%
1-1 @ 8.34% (0.107 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.474 0.47)
2-2 @ 3.34% (-0.242 -0.24)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 17.54%
0-1 @ 3.72% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 2.98% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 10.37%

How you voted: Roma vs Cremonese

Roma
91.6%
Draw
4.2%
Cremonese
4.2%
143
rhs 2.0


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