Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 22, 2022 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Chris Smalling 65' goal
  • yellowcard Emanuel Aiwu 24'
  • yellowcard Luca Zanimacchia 50'
  • yellowcard Matteo Bianchetti 79'

Roma vs Cremonese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Aug 14, 2022 7.45pm
Salernitana 0 - 1 Roma
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Paulo Dybala

Cremonese

All competitions
Serie A
Last game
Aug 14, 2022 5.30pm
Fiorentina 3 - 2 Cremonese
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Daniel Ciofani

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.65%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result

Roma 72.09% (+0.16)
Draw 17.54% (+0.23)
Cremonese 10.37% (-0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.66% (-2.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.69% (-2.15)
Under 2.5 43.3% (+2.15)
Over 3.5 34.3% (-2.15)
Under 3.5 65.7% (+2.15)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 89.36% (-0.54)
Under 0.5 10.63% (+0.54)
Over 1.5 65.53% (-1.21)
Under 1.5 34.47% (+1.21)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5 51.1% (-2.13)
Under 0.5 48.9% (+2.13)
Over 1.5 16.11% (-1.57)
Under 1.5 83.88% (+1.57)

Score analysis

Roma 72.08%
Draw 17.54%
Cremonese 10.37%
Roma
2-0 @ 13.05% (+0.65)
1-0 @ 11.65% (+0.83)
3-0 @ 9.76% (+0.27)
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 6.98% (-0.23)
4-0 @ 5.47% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.91% (-0.23)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.25)
5-0 @ 2.45% (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.15)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.17)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 72.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.34% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 5.2% (+0.48)
2-2 @ 3.34% (-0.25)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 17.54%
Cremonese
0-1 @ 3.72% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 2.98% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 10.37%