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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Cremonese

Fiorentina
3 - 2
Cremonese

Bonaventura (16'), Jovic (34'), Mandragora (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Okereke (19'), Buonaiuto (68')
Chiriches (9'), Ghiglione (62'), Okereke (82')
Escalante (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fiorentina 3-2 Cremonese

Fiorentina have never drawn in their last 11 Serie A season openers and are set to continue that run with victory on Sunday. Both sides have invested in new attacking options, so an entertaining encounter surely awaits at the Franchi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 72.9%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-2 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
FiorentinaDrawCremonese
72.9% (5.377 5.38) 16.58% (-2.191 -2.19) 10.52% (-3.189 -3.19)
Both teams to score 49.67% (-2.611 -2.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.66% (1.879 1.88)38.33% (-1.883 -1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.38% (1.967 1.97)60.61% (-1.97 -1.97)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.85% (1.817 1.82)9.14% (-1.8201 -1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.98% (4.183 4.18)31.01% (-4.187 -4.19)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.67% (-4.05 -4.05)45.33% (4.045 4.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.8% (-3.388 -3.39)81.19% (3.384 3.38)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 72.89%
    Cremonese 10.52%
    Draw 16.58%
FiorentinaDrawCremonese
2-0 @ 11.85% (0.8 0.8)
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 9.46% (1.307 1.31)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.402 -0.4)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.272 0.27)
4-0 @ 5.66% (1.152 1.15)
4-1 @ 4.48% (0.49 0.49)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.23 -0.23)
5-0 @ 2.71% (0.715 0.72)
5-1 @ 2.14% (0.379 0.38)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.008 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.08% (0.345 0.35)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 72.89%
1-1 @ 7.84% (-1.008 -1.01)
0-0 @ 4.14% (-0.382 -0.38)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.616 -0.62)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 16.58%
0-1 @ 3.28% (-0.726 -0.73)
1-2 @ 3.1% (-0.813 -0.81)
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.474 -0.47)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.298 -0.3)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 10.52%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Cremonese

Fiorentina
90.6%
Draw
5.9%
Cremonese
3.5%
85
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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