Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 72.9%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-2 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.