Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 14, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
3 - 2
Cremonese

Bonaventura (16'), Jovic (34'), Mandragora (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Okereke (19'), Buonaiuto (68')
Chiriches (9'), Ghiglione (62'), Okereke (82')
Escalante (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

Last Six:

Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Fiorentina
Sunday, July 31 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Empoli	0	0	0
8	Fiorentina	0	0	0
9	Hellas Verona	0	0	0

Cremonese

Last Six:

Last Game: Cremonese 3-2 Ternana
Monday, August 8 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Bologna	0	0	0
6	Cremonese	0	0	0
7	Empoli	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 72.9%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-2 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Cremonese
72.9% ( 5.38)	16.58% ( -2.19)	10.52% ( -3.19)

Both teams to score 49.67% (

-2.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.66% (

1.88)

38.33% (

-1.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.38% (

1.97)

60.61% (

-1.97)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.85% (

1.82)

9.14% (

-1.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.98% (

4.18)

31.01% (

-4.19)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.67% (

-4.05)

45.33% (

4.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.8% (

-3.39)

81.19% (

3.38)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 72.89%

Cremonese 10.52%

Draw 16.58%

Fiorentina	Draw	Cremonese
2-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.8) 1-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 9.46% ( 1.31) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 5.66% ( 1.15) 4-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.49) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.23) 5-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.72) 5-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.38) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.35) Other @ 4.02% Total : 72.89%	1-1 @ 7.84% ( -1.01) 0-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.62) Other @ 0.88% Total : 16.58%	0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.73) 1-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.81) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.47) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.3) Other @ 1.86% Total : 10.52%