Cremonese
Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 8, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese
3 - 2
Ternana

Bogdan (15' og.), Okereke (22'), Quagliata (60')
Chiriches (45+1'), Sernicola (63'), Quagliata (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rovaglia (54'), Palumbo (57')
Di Tacchio (34'), Ghiringhelli (45'), Palumbo (88')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Cremonese and Ternana.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
CremoneseDrawTernana
52.44% (-0.729 -0.73)22.75% (0.162 0.16)24.81% (0.565 0.57)
Both teams to score 59.03% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (-0.179 -0.18)41.1% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (-0.183 -0.18)63.49% (0.182 0.18)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.26% (-0.313 -0.31)15.73% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.16% (-0.581 -0.58)44.83% (0.58000000000001 0.58)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05% (0.36000000000001 0.36)29.94% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.94% (0.431 0.43)66.05% (-0.432 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Cremonese 52.44%
    Ternana 24.81%
    Draw 22.74%
CremoneseDrawTernana
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.06% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.97% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 52.44%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 6.34% (0.109 0.11)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.101 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.43% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.55% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 24.81%

How you voted: Cremonese vs Ternana

Cremonese
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Ternana
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 1.05pm
Ternana
1-2
Cremonese
Mazzocchi (62')
Partipilo (23'), Salzano (81')
Baez (59'), Gaetano (80')
Castagnetti (27'), Fagioli (58'), Baez (64')
Oct 2, 2021 1pm
Cremonese
2-0
Ternana
Zanimacchia (44'), Di Carmine (73')
Fagioli (30'), Gaetano (89')

Proietti (52'), Capuano (60')
Mar 3, 2018 2pm
Ternana
2-1
Cremonese
Montalto (7'), Defendi (42')
Piovaccari (90')
Cavion (68')
Claiton (52'), Piccolo (90')
Oct 8, 2017 2pm
Cremonese
3-3
Ternana
Piccolo (9' pen.), Scappini (70'), Mokulu Tembe (88')
Pesce (90')
Carretta (42'), Signorini (45'), Albadoro (45')
Albadoro (45'), Varone (61'), Signorini (73')
Signorini (83')