Sporting Lisbon
Friendlies
Jul 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio Do Algarve
Roma logo

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 2
Roma

Goncalves (29' pen.), Inacio (53'), Tabata (86')
Ugarte (62'), Nunes (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Inacio (31' og.), Pellegrini (69')
Smalling (52'), Mancini (58'), Zaniolo (79'), Veretout (85')
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 1 Friendlies clash between Sporting Lisbon and Roma.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Roma had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawRoma
49.64% (0.058999999999997 0.06)24.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)26.21% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.71% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.86% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)46.14% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)68.44% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)18.65% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)49.96% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.48% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)31.52% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.08% (-0.103 -0.1)67.91% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 49.64%
    Roma 26.21%
    Draw 24.14%
Sporting LisbonDrawRoma
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.29% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.64% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 49.64%
1-1 @ 11.39%
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.14%
0-1 @ 6.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 26.21%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Roma

Sporting Lisbon
41.2%
Draw
23.5%
Roma
35.3%
17
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!