Friendlies

Aug 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
5 - 0
Shakhtar

Pellegrini (18'), Mancini (40'), Konoplya (45' og.), Zaniolo (59'), Bove (87')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Mykhaylichenko (41')

Coverage of the Club Friendlies 1 Friendlies clash between Roma and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Roma
Saturday, July 30 at 7.15pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Napoli	0	0	0
14	Roma	0	0	0
15	Salernitana	0	0	0

Shakhtar Donetsk

Last Six:

Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Shakhtar
Tuesday, July 26 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	14	30	35
2	Dynamo Kiev	14	28	35
3	Zorya Luhansk	14	17	29

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 20.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
56.2% ( -1.35)	23.27% ( 0.3)	20.53% ( 1.05)

Both teams to score 51.69% (

0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.83% (

0.12)

48.17% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.67% (

0.11)

70.33% (

-0.11)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.05% (

-0.43)

16.95% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.97% (

-0.77)

47.04% (

0.77)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.25% (

1.18)

37.76% (

-1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.47% (

1.13)

74.53% (

-1.12)

Score Analysis

Roma 56.19%

Shakhtar Donetsk 20.53%

Draw 23.27%

Roma	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.01% Total : 56.19%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.27%	0-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.59% Total : 20.53%