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-
Lorenzo Pellegrini
18'
-
Gianluca Mancini
40'
-
Yukhym Konoplya
45'
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Nicolo Zaniolo
59'
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Edoardo Bove
87'
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Bogdan Mykhaylichenko
41'
Roma vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 20.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result
Roma
56.2%
▼
(-1.35)
Draw
23.27%
▲
(+0.31)
Shakhtar Donetsk
20.53%
▲
(+1.05)
Both Teams to Score:
51.69%
▲
(+0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.83%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 2.5
48.17%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 3.5
29.67%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
70.33%
▼
(-0.11)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5
83.05%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 0.5
16.95%
▲
(+0.44)
Over 1.5
52.97%
▼
(-0.77)
Under 1.5
47.04%
▲
(+0.78)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5
62.25%
▲
(+1.18)
Under 0.5
37.76%
▼
(-1.18)
Over 1.5
25.47%
▲
(+1.13)
Under 1.5
74.53%
▼
(-1.13)
Score analysis
Roma
56.19%
Draw
23.27%
Shakhtar Donetsk
20.53%
Roma
1-0
@
11.35%
▼
(-0.23)
2-0 @ 10.08% ▼ (-0.34)
2-1 @ 9.82% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 56.19%
2-0 @ 10.08% ▼ (-0.34)
2-1 @ 9.82% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.18)
4-1 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 56.19%
Draw
1-1
@
11.06%
▲
(+0.15)
0-0 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 23.27%
0-0 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 23.27%
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1
@
6.23%
▲
(+0.17)
1-2 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 20.53%
1-2 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 20.53%
Ivan Ordets
79'