Friendlies

Jul 26, 2022 at 7pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
3 - 1
Shakhtar

Tadic (45'), Berghuis (73'), Kudus (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mudryk (33')

Coverage of the Club Friendlies 1 Friendlies clash between Ajax and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

Last Six:

Last Game: Salzburg 2-3 Ajax
Tuesday, July 19 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0
2	Ajax	0	0	0
3	Cambuur	0	0	0

Shakhtar Donetsk

Last Six:

Last Game: Oleksandriya 1-2 Shakhtar
Saturday, December 11 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Shakhtar Donetsk	14	30	35
2	Dynamo Kiev	14	28	35
3	Zorya Luhansk	14	17	29

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 14.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 3-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
68.47% ( -0.73)	17.18% ( 0.34)	14.36% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 60.35% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.19% (

-0.78)

30.8% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.84% (

-0.93)

52.15% (

0.93)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.78% (

-0.35)

8.22% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.24% (

-0.88)

28.75% (

0.89)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.75% (

-0)

34.25% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.05% (

-0.01)

70.95% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Ajax 68.47%

Shakhtar Donetsk 14.36%

Draw 17.18%

Ajax	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.1) 5-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.06) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 68.47%	1-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 17.18%	1-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.44% Total : 14.36%