/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fshaklog.png)
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Dusan Tadic
45'
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Steven Berghuis
73'
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Mohammed Kudus
85'
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Mykhaylo Mudryk
33'
Ajax vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 14.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 3-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Ajax
68.47%
▼
(-0.74)
Draw
17.18%
▲
(+0.35)
Shakhtar Donetsk
14.36%
▲
(+0.40)
Both Teams to Score:
60.35%
▼
(-0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5
69.19%
▼
(-0.78)
Under 2.5
30.8%
▲
(+0.78)
Over 3.5
47.84%
▼
(-0.94)
Under 3.5
52.15%
▲
(+0.94)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
91.78%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 0.5
8.22%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 1.5
71.24%
▼
(-0.89)
Under 1.5
28.75%
▲
(+0.89)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5
65.75%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
34.25%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
29.05%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
70.95%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Ajax
68.47%
Draw
17.18%
Shakhtar Donetsk
14.36%
Ajax
2-1
@
9.42%
▲
(+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 7.03% ▲ (+0.19)
4-1 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.13)
4-0 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.11)
5-0 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.10)
5-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.06)
6-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 68.47%
2-0 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.06)
1-0 @ 7.03% ▲ (+0.19)
4-1 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.13)
4-0 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.12)
3-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.04)
4-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.11)
5-0 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.10)
5-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.06)
6-1 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 68.47%
Draw
1-1
@
7.54%
▲
(+0.20)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 17.18%
2-2 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 17.18%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-2
@
4.04%
▲
(+0.11)
0-1 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 14.36%
0-1 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 14.36%