Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Ajax
27.67% ( 0.47)	22.68% ( 0.04)	49.65% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 62.09% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.71% (

0.18)

38.28% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.43% (

0.19)

60.56% (

-0.19)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.65% (

0.42)

26.35% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.5% (

0.56)

61.5% (

-0.56)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.31% (

-0.11)

15.69% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.25% (

-0.21)

44.74% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 27.67%

Ajax 49.65%

Draw 22.68%

Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 27.67%	1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.68%	1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 5.84% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 49.65%