Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 80.34%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 7.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.79%), while for a SC Paderborn win it was 1-2 (2.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	SC Paderborn
80.34% ( 0.31)	11.69% ( -0.15)	7.97% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 59.98% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.75% (

0.17)

21.25% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

60.14% (

0.24)

39.85% (

-0.24)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.93% (

0.07)

4.07% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.9% (

0.24)

17.1% (

-0.23)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.52% (

-0.2)

37.47% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.74% (

-0.19)

74.26% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Ajax 80.34%

SC Paderborn 7.97%

Draw 11.69%

Ajax	Draw	SC Paderborn
3-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 3.22% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 6-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) 7-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.71% Total : 80.34%	1-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 11.69%	1-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 7.97%