Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 96.97%. A draw had a probability of 2.4% and a win for Meppen had a probability of 0.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 4-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (11.84%) and 3-0 (10.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.14%), while for a Meppen win it was 0-1 (0.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Meppen
96.97% ( -0.03)	2.4% ( 0.01)	0.63% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 31.42% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

87.96% (

0.11)

12.04% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

74.21% (

0.19)

25.79% (

-0.19)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

99.06% (

0.01)

0.94% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

94.68% (

0.03)

5.32% (

-0.03)

Meppen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

31.72% (

0.45)

68.28% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.67% (

0.17)

94.33% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Ajax 96.95%

Meppen 0.63%

Draw 2.4%

Ajax	Draw	Meppen
4-0 @ 12.68% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.07) 7-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) 8-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 7-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 9-0 @ 1.86% 8-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 6.45% Total : 96.95%	1-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.26% Total : 2.4%	Other @ 0.63% Total : 0.63%