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Europa League

Ludogorets
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)
Roma logo

Ludogorets
2 - 1
Roma

Oliveira Souza (72'), Nonato (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Shomurodov (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ludogorets Razgrad

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Last Game: Zalgiris 3-3 Ludogorets
Thursday, August 25 at 5pm in Europa League
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Roma

Last Six:
Last Game: Udinese 4-0 Roma
Sunday, September 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawRoma
19.4% (-0.038 -0.04)22.3% (0.032999999999998 0.03)58.31% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.97% (-0.184 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.44% (-0.207 -0.21)45.57% (0.209 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11% (-0.196 -0.2)67.89% (0.2 0.2)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (-0.166 -0.17)37.45% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (-0.159 -0.16)74.23% (0.161 0.16)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.69% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)15.32% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.95% (-0.127 -0.13)44.05% (0.13 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 19.4%
    Roma 58.3%
    Draw 22.3%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawRoma
1-0 @ 5.63% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.77%
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 19.4%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.3%
0-1 @ 10.76% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 10.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.92% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 6.31% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 58.3%

How you voted: Ludogorets vs Roma

Ludogorets Razgrad
11.7%
Draw
21.1%
Roma
67.3%
171