Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.