Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Sep 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
4 - 0
Roma

Udogie (5'), Samardzic (56'), Pereyra (75'), Lovric (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

Last Six:

Last Game: Udinese 1-0 Fiorentina
Wednesday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Torino	4	0	7
9	Udinese	4	0	7
10	Fiorentina	5	0	6

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Roma 3-0 Monza
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Atalanta BC	4	5	10
4	Roma	4	5	10
5	Juventus	5	5	9

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Roma
29.15% ( -0.33)	25.88% ( -0.19)	44.97% ( 0.53)

Both teams to score 52.34% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.41% (

0.62)

51.59% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.62% (

0.54)

73.38% (

-0.53)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.86% (

0.08)

32.14% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.38% (

0.09)

68.62% (

-0.08)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.12% (

0.52)

22.88% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.37% (

0.76)

56.63% (

-0.75)

Score Analysis

Udinese 29.15%

Roma 44.96%

Draw 25.88%

Udinese	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.15%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 8% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.96%