/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fudilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fchelog.png)
-
Gerard Deulofeu
42'
-
N'Golo Kante
20'
-
Raheem Sterling
37'
-
Mason Mount
90'
Udinese vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F29%2Fthomas-tuchel.jpg)
The match
Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F28%2Fben-chilwell.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 17.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
Result
Udinese
17.38%
▲
(+0.67)
Draw
21.18%
▲
(+0.44)
Chelsea
61.44%
▼
(-1.10)
Both Teams to Score:
52.89%
▼
(-0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.19%
▼
(-0.78)
Under 2.5
43.81%
▲
(+0.78)
Over 3.5
33.8%
▼
(-0.77)
Under 3.5
66.2%
▲
(+0.77)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5
61.32%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 0.5
38.68%
▼
(-0.33)
Over 1.5
24.58%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 1.5
75.42%
▼
(-0.31)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5
86.25%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 0.5
13.75%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 1.5
58.97%
▼
(-1.15)
Under 1.5
41.03%
▲
(+1.15)
Score analysis
Udinese
17.38%
Draw
21.18%
Chelsea
61.43%
Udinese
1-0
@
5.05%
▲
(+0.22)
2-1 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 17.38%
2-1 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 17.38%
Draw
1-1
@
10.02%
▲
(+0.22)
0-0 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 21.18%
0-0 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 21.18%
Chelsea
0-1
@
10.55%
▲
(+0.15)
0-2 @ 10.46% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 9.94% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.14)
0-4 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.18)
1-4 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.06)
0-5 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.11)
1-5 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 61.43%
0-2 @ 10.46% ▼ (-0.09)
1-2 @ 9.94% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.92% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.14)
0-4 @ 3.44% ▼ (-0.18)
1-4 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.06)
0-5 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.11)
1-5 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 61.43%