Udinese logo
Friendlies
Jul 29, 2022 at 8pm UK
Dacia Arena
Chelsea logo

Udinese
1 - 3
Chelsea

Deulofeu (42')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kante (20'), Sterling (37'), Mount (90')

The Match

Match Report

Chelsea conclude their pre-season schedule with a 2-0 victory over Udinese on Saturday morning, their second success over the Italian side in less than 24 hours.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's pre-season clash between Udinese and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Friday's pre-season friendly with Udinese.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 17.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawChelsea
17.38% (0.66 0.66)21.18% (0.436 0.44)61.44% (-1.096 -1.1)
Both teams to score 52.89% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.19% (-0.775 -0.77)43.81% (0.776 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.8% (-0.764 -0.76)66.2% (0.764 0.76)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.32% (0.327 0.33)38.68% (-0.327 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.58% (0.311 0.31)75.42% (-0.30799999999999 -0.31)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.25% (-0.571 -0.57)13.75% (0.572 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.97% (-1.146 -1.15)41.03% (1.148 1.15)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 17.38%
    Chelsea 61.43%
    Draw 21.18%
UdineseDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 5.05% (0.213 0.21)
2-1 @ 4.76% (0.144 0.14)
2-0 @ 2.4% (0.121 0.12)
3-1 @ 1.51% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 17.38%
1-1 @ 10.02% (0.213 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.179 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.18%
0-1 @ 10.55% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 10.46% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.92% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-3 @ 6.58% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-4 @ 3.44% (-0.178 -0.18)
1-4 @ 3.26% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.36% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-5 @ 1.3% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 61.43%

How you voted: Udinese vs Chelsea

Udinese
15.0%
Draw
11.3%
Chelsea
73.8%
80