Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Aug 31, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Beto (17')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

Last Six:

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Udinese
Friday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Salernitana	3	3	4
12	Udinese	3	-1	4
13	Spezia	3	-2	4

Fiorentina

Last Six:

Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, August 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Juventus	3	3	5
9	Fiorentina	3	1	5
10	Sassuolo	4	-2	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Udinese in this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Fiorentina
37.8% ( -0.07)	26.53% ( -0.03)	35.67% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 52.43% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.55% (

0.12)

52.45% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.87% (

0.1)

74.12% (

-0.11)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.03% (

0.01)

26.97% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.69% (

0.02)

62.31% (

-0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.78% (

0.12)

28.21% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.08% (

0.15)

63.91% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Udinese 37.8%

Fiorentina 35.67%

Draw 26.52%

Udinese	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.8%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.67%