Conference League
Aug 18, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 2' goal
  • Arthur Cabral 31' goal
  • Nikola Milenkovic 39' yellowcard
  • Sofyan Amrabat 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Youssef Maleh 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gijs Smal 33'
  • yellowcard Robin Propper 55'
  • yellowcard Michel Vlap 62'
  • goal Vaclav Cerny 65'
  • yellowcard Vaclav Cerny 70'

Fiorentina vs FC Twente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

FC Twente

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match.

Result

Fiorentina 45.48% (+0.15)
Draw 22.68% (+0.06)
FC Twente 31.85% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.95% (-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.28% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 35.72% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 42.21% (-0.43)
Under 3.5 57.79% (+0.43)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 83.77% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 16.23% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 54.26% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 45.74% (+0.18)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5 77.53% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 22.47% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 43.98% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 56.02% (+0.45)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 45.48%
Draw 22.68%
FC Twente 31.85%
Fiorentina
2-1 @ 9% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 6.63% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 6.03% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.46% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.07% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.65% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.64%
Total : 45.48%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.9% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.72% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 3.65% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.68%
FC Twente
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.45% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.06% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 31.85%