/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Ftwelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fforlog_1.png)
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Ricky van Wolfswinkel
22'
-
Joshua Brenet
44'
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Virgil Misidjan
53'
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Ricky van Wolfswinkel
74'
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Deroy Duarte
73'
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Mats Seuntjens
80'
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Burak Yilmaz
90'+1'
FC Twente vs Fortuna Sittard - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F48%2Fron-jans.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 68.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result
FC Twente
68.93%
▲
(+3.76)
Draw
18.3%
▼
(-1.67)
Fortuna Sittard
12.76%
▼
(-2.09)
Both Teams to Score:
51.13%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
59.68%
▲
(+2.91)
Under 2.5
40.32%
▼
(-2.91)
Over 3.5
37.3%
▲
(+2.94)
Under 3.5
62.7%
▼
(-2.94)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5
89.37%
▲
(+1.85)
Under 0.5
10.63%
▼
(-1.85)
Over 1.5
65.54%
▲
(+3.99)
Under 1.5
34.46%
▼
(-3.98)
Fortuna Sittard Goals
Over 0.5
57.21%
▼
(-1.23)
Under 0.5
42.79%
▲
(+1.23)
Over 1.5
20.89%
▼
(-1.06)
Under 1.5
79.11%
▲
(+1.06)
Score analysis
FC Twente
68.92%
Draw
18.3%
Fortuna Sittard
12.76%
FC Twente
2-0
@
11.42%
▲
(+0.19)
1-0 @ 10.19% ▼ (-0.60)
2-1 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.75)
3-1 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.41)
4-0 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.73)
4-1 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.50)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.08)
5-0 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.46)
5-1 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.34)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 68.92%
1-0 @ 10.19% ▼ (-0.60)
2-1 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 8.54% ▲ (+0.75)
3-1 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.41)
4-0 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.73)
4-1 @ 4.06% ▲ (+0.50)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.08)
5-0 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.46)
5-1 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.34)
4-2 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 68.92%
Draw
1-1
@
8.66%
▼
(-0.82)
0-0 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.64)
2-2 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 18.3%
0-0 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.64)
2-2 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 18.3%
Fortuna Sittard
0-1
@
3.86%
▼
(-0.69)
1-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.49)
0-2 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.36)
2-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 12.76%
1-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.49)
0-2 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.36)
2-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 12.76%
