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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Cambuur | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-3 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Ajax |
11.19% ( 0.46) | 15.82% ( 0.17) | 72.98% ( -0.63) |
Both teams to score 55.33% ( 1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.57% ( 0.56) | 32.43% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.93% ( 0.64) | 54.06% ( -0.65) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.94% ( 1.2) | 40.05% ( -1.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.29% ( 1.08) | 76.7% ( -1.08) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.31% ( -0) | 7.68% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.6% ( 0) | 27.39% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.49% Total : 11.19% | 1-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.82% | 0-2 @ 10.13% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 8.67% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 7.93% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.24) 0-4 @ 5.56% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.13) 0-5 @ 2.86% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.08) 0-6 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) 1-6 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 72.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
11 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
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