Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 57.27%. A win for PSV Eindhoven has a probability of 23.46% and a draw has a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win is 1-2 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.36%).

Result
Ajax	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
57.27% ( 2.65)	19.28% ( -0.05)	23.46% ( -2.59)

Both teams to score 70.46% (

-2.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.39% (

-2.5)

25.61% (

2.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.29% (

-3.31)

45.71% (

3.31)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.78% (

-0.18)

9.22% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.8% (

-0.43)

31.2% (

0.44)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62% (

-3.08)

22.38% (

3.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.12% (

-4.83)

55.89% (

4.83)

Score Analysis

Ajax 57.27%

PSV Eindhoven 23.46%

Draw 19.28%

Ajax	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.49) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.82) 3-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.73) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.62) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.35) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.06) 4-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.25) 5-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.16) Other @ 4.47% Total : 57.27%	1-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.32) Other @ 0.67% Total : 19.28%	1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.46) 0-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.25) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.26) Other @ 2.13% Total : 23.46%