MX23RW : Thursday, April 25 17:35:40| >> :60:907:907:
Ajax
Dutch Super Cup | Final
Jul 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
PSV

Ajax
3 - 5
PSV

Bergwijn (15'), Antony (54'), Kudus (72')
Berghuis (41'), Alvarez (45+4'), Rensch (90'), Kudus (90+4'), Tadic (90+7')
Bassey (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Til (32', 45+2', 69'), Gakpo (65'), Simons (90+1')
Benitez (41'), Sangare (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Dutch Super Cup clash between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-1 Shakhtar
Tuesday, July 26 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: PSV 2-1 Real Betis
Saturday, July 23 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Ajax 2-1 PSV Eindhoven

With a trophy on the line, we expect both teams to go at each other with real intent, which should make for a very exciting contest. That said, we are also backing Ajax to just about edge out PSV by the odd goal and emerge victorious at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 57.27%. A win for PSV Eindhoven has a probability of 23.46% and a draw has a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win is 1-2 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (7.36%).

Result
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
57.27% (2.647 2.65) 19.28% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 23.46% (-2.591 -2.59)
Both teams to score 70.46% (-2.939 -2.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.39% (-2.502 -2.5)25.61% (2.506 2.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.29% (-3.307 -3.31)45.71% (3.309 3.31)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.78% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)9.22% (0.1829 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.8% (-0.434 -0.43)31.2% (0.436 0.44)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (-3.077 -3.08)22.38% (3.079 3.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12% (-4.829 -4.83)55.89% (4.832 4.83)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 57.27%
    PSV Eindhoven 23.46%
    Draw 19.28%
AjaxDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.487 0.49)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.331 0.33)
2-0 @ 5.86% (0.823 0.82)
3-2 @ 5.22% (-0.243 -0.24)
1-0 @ 4.92% (0.726 0.73)
3-0 @ 4.66% (0.621 0.62)
4-1 @ 4.16% (0.164 0.16)
4-2 @ 3.11% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.349 0.35)
5-1 @ 1.98% (0.063 0.06)
4-3 @ 1.55% (-0.248 -0.25)
5-2 @ 1.48% (-0.095 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.32% (0.157 0.16)
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 57.27%
1-1 @ 7.36% (0.466 0.47)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-3 @ 2.61% (-0.391 -0.39)
0-0 @ 2.06% (0.319 0.32)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 19.28%
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.461 -0.46)
0-1 @ 3.09% (0.219 0.22)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.361 -0.36)
0-2 @ 2.31% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.311 -0.31)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-4 @ 0.98% (-0.257 -0.26)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 23.46%

How you voted: Ajax vs PSV

Ajax
84.5%
Draw
8.6%
PSV Eindhoven
6.9%
58
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 5pm
PSV
2-1
Ajax
Gutierrez (48'), Gakpo (50')
Max (63'), Teze (88'), Gotze (90+3')
Gravenberch (23')
Martinez (18'), Gravenberch (81')
Jan 23, 2022 1.30pm
PSV
1-2
Ajax
Gotze (53')
Obispo (27'), Schmidt (50'), Junior (79'), Gutierrez (82')
Brobbey (34'), Mazraoui (74')
Alvarez (24')
Oct 24, 2021 3.45pm
Ajax
5-0
PSV
Berghuis (19'), Haller (56'), Antony (66'), Klaassen (76'), Tadic (90+1')
Alvarez (24'), Martinez (29')

Max (36'), Vinicius (69')
Feb 28, 2021 1.30pm
PSV
1-1
Ajax
Zahavi (39')
Boscagli (54'), Zahavi (87'), Malen (89'), Dumfries (90+1'), Teze (90+4')
Tadic (90+2' pen.)
Alvarez (38')
Feb 10, 2021 7pm
Ajax
2-1
PSV
Haller (19', 24')
Tagliafico (64'), Rensch (64'), Alvarez (89')
Maduro (58' og.)
Teze (26'), Zahavi (82'), Malen (89')
rhs 2.0
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