Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.3%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 19.98% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 3-1 (7.18%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (5.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Villarreal
60.3% ( -4.3)	19.71% ( 0.39)	19.98% ( 3.9)

Both teams to score 63.22% (

6.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.4% (

5.05)

32.6% (

-5.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.73% (

5.63)

54.26% (

-5.63)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.39% (

0.38)

10.61% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.6% (

0.85)

34.4% (

-0.86)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.72% (

7.22)

29.28% (

-7.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.76% (

8.05)

65.24% (

-8.05)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 60.3%

Villarreal 19.98%

Draw 19.71%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Villarreal
2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( -1.96) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( -1.89) 3-0 @ 5.85% ( -1.35) 3-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.76) 4-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.7) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.46) 5-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.28) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.22) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.34) Other @ 3.29% Total : 60.3%	1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.93) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.91) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.58) Other @ 0.35% Total : 19.71%	1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.76) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.75) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.64) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.28) Other @ 3.05% Total : 19.98%