Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 78.58%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 8.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.