Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 15.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for an Almere City win it was 2-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Almere City	Draw	Ajax
15.98% ( -0.02)	19.74% ( 0.01)	64.28% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.75% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.16% (

-0.08)

39.84% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.8% (

-0.09)

62.2% (

0.08)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.02% (

-0.08)

37.98% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.25% (

-0.07)

74.75% (

0.07)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.29% (

-0.02)

11.71% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.17% (

-0.05)

36.83% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Almere City 15.98%

Ajax 64.28%

Draw 19.74%

Almere City	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 4.47% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 15.98%	1-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.74%	0-2 @ 10.22% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.08% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.92% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.8% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 3.93% Total : 64.28%