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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Udinese logo

AC Milan
4 - 2
Udinese

Hernandez (11' pen.), Rebic (15', 68'), Diaz (46')
Krunic (34')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Becao (2'), Masina (45+3')
Soppy (9'), Becao (34'), Perez (55'), Ebosele (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vicenza 1-6 AC Milan
Saturday, August 6 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Udinese 2-1 FeralpiSalo
Friday, August 5 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Udinese

Milan may have underwhelmed in the transfer market, but they have a clearly defined way of playing and it has proven effective across the past two years. A home game against relatively modest opponents should be a gift, then, to start the new season, but Udinese can be tricky customers and will not be easily dispatched. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 13.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawUdinese
66.5% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04) 20.2% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 13.3% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.36% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)47.49% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)69.7% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)13.39% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.69% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)40.31% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.52% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)46.47% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)82.08% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 66.49%
    Udinese 13.3%
    Draw 20.2%
AC MilanDrawUdinese
2-0 @ 12.57%
1-0 @ 12.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 8.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.7% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 66.49%
1-1 @ 9.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.2%
0-1 @ 4.77% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.67% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.83% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 13.3%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Udinese

AC Milan
89.3%
Draw
9.8%
Udinese
0.8%
122
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2022 5.50pm
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Leao (29')
Rebic (68'), Leao (90+4')
Udogie (66')
Perez (17'), Becao (49'), Molina (73'), Success (77')
Dec 11, 2021 7.45pm
Udinese
1-1
AC Milan
Beto (17')
Perez (25'), Deulofeu (55')
Success (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (90+2')
Castillejo (87'), Florenzi (90+5')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Kessie (90+7' pen.)
Rebic (24'), Hernandez (32'), Romagnoli (90+2'), Kessie (90+4')
Becao (68')
Zeegelaar (54')
Nov 1, 2020 11.30am
Udinese
1-2
AC Milan
De Paul (48' pen.)
Becao (24'), Arslan (39')
Kessie (18'), Ibrahimovic (83')
Hernandez (13'), Donnarumma (49')
Jan 19, 2020 11.30am
AC Milan
3-2
Udinese
Rebic (48', 93'), Hernandez (72')
Bennacer (40'), Pioli (53'), Conti (63'), Ibrahimovic (80'), Castillejo (94')
Stryger Larsen (6'), Lasagna (85')
Sema (27')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan33216664392569
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
7Lazio33164134235752
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza331110123543-843
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce33811143048-1835
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16Empoli3387182648-2231
17Udinese33416133150-1928
18FrosinoneFrosinone33610174063-2328
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
20Salernitana3329222670-4415


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