Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 13, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
4 - 2
Udinese

Hernandez (11' pen.), Rebic (15', 68'), Diaz (46')
Krunic (34')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Becao (2'), Masina (45+3')
Soppy (9'), Becao (34'), Perez (55'), Ebosele (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Vicenza 1-6 AC Milan
Saturday, August 6 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AC Milan	0	0	0
2	Atalanta BC	0	0	0
3	Bologna	0	0	0

Udinese

Last Six:

Last Game: Udinese 2-1 FeralpiSalo
Friday, August 5 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Spezia	0	0	0
19	Torino	0	0	0
20	Udinese	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 13.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Udinese
66.5% ( -0.04)	20.2% ( 0.02)	13.3% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 46.36% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.5% (

-0.07)

47.49% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.29% (

-0.07)

69.7% (

0.06)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.61% (

-0.04)

13.39% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.69% (

-0.07)

40.31% (

0.07)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.52% (

-0.02)

46.47% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.91% (

-0.02)

82.08% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 66.49%

Udinese 13.3%

Draw 20.2%

AC Milan	Draw	Udinese
2-0 @ 12.57% 1-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 66.49%	1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.2%	0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.15% Total : 13.3%