Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	AC Milan
32.44% ( 0.49)	24.77% ( 0.09)	42.79% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 57.61% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.56% (

-0.25)

45.44% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.22% (

-0.24)

67.77% (

0.24)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.19% (

0.18)

26.81% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.89% (

0.24)

62.1% (

-0.24)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.72% (

-0.37)

21.28% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.79% (

-0.58)

54.21% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 32.44%

AC Milan 42.79%

Draw 24.77%

FC Koln	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.44%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.77%	1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 42.79%