Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Aug 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
0 - 0
Napoli

Martinez (60'), Jovic (68')

Zambo Anguissa (3'), Spalletti (19'), Raspadori (90'), Ndombele (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

Last Six:

Last Game: FC Twente 0-0 Fiorentina
Thursday, August 25 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Atalanta BC	2	2	4
9	Fiorentina	2	1	4
10	Udinese	3	-1	4

Napoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Napoli 4-0 Monza
Sunday, August 21 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Roma	3	2	7
5	Napoli	2	7	6
6	Inter Milan	3	2	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Napoli
38.01% ( 1.16)	24.72% ( 0.01)	37.27% ( -1.16)

Both teams to score 58.79% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.67% (

-0.02)

44.33% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.29% (

-0.02)

66.7% (

0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.87% (

0.6)

23.13% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43% (

0.87)

56.99% (

-0.86)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.48% (

-0.61)

23.52% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.44% (

-0.9)

57.55% (

0.9)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 38.01%

Napoli 37.27%

Draw 24.71%

Fiorentina	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.01%	1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.71%	1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.27%