Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.