| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Bologna | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Lecce | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Spezia | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Empoli | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Empoli |
| 54.35% ( | 24.58% ( | 21.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.24% ( | 52.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.61% ( | 74.39% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% ( | 19.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.87% ( | 51.12% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.18% ( | 39.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.52% ( | 76.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 12.65% ( 2-0 @ 10.39% ( 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 54.34% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 2-2 @ 4.41% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.35% Total : 21.07% |