Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 2

Aug 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo
1 - 0
Lecce

Berardi (40')
Henrique (37'), Berardi (55'), Rogerio (66'), Frattesi (77'), Toljan (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

Last Six:

Last Game: Juventus 3-0 Sassuolo
Monday, August 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Sampdoria	1	-2	0
19	Hellas Verona	1	-3	0
20	Sassuolo	1	-3	0

Lecce

Last Six:

Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Bologna	1	-1	0
13	Lecce	1	-1	0
14	Monza	1	-1	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Lecce
40.84% ( -0.8)	24.17% ( 0.04)	34.99% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 60.54% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.05% (

-0.03)

41.95% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.65% (

-0.02)

64.35% (

0.02)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.29% (

-0.38)

20.7% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.69% (

-0.6)

53.31% (

0.6)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.34% (

0.41)

23.65% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.24% (

0.59)

57.75% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 40.84%

Lecce 34.99%

Draw 24.16%

Sassuolo	Draw	Lecce
2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.83% Total : 40.84%	1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16%	1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.99%