Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 59.47%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 21.12% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Modena
21.12% ( 0.62)	19.41% ( 0.25)	59.47% ( -0.86)

Both teams to score 66.38% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.63% (

-0.31)

29.37% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.57% (

-0.38)

50.43% (

0.38)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.63% (

0.33)

26.36% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.49% (

0.44)

61.51% (

-0.44)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.15% (

-0.3)

9.84% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.33% (

-0.7)

32.66% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 21.12%

Modena 59.47%

Draw 19.41%

Sassuolo	Draw	Modena
2-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.93% Total : 21.12%	1-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.47% Total : 19.41%	1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.19% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.39% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 4.17% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 3.12% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.93% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.07) 2-5 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.85% Total : 59.47%