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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Inter logo

Lecce
1 - 2
Inter Milan

Ceesay (48')
Baschirotto (32'), Blin (82'), Colombo (87'), Hjulmand (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lukaku (2'), Dumfries (90+4')
Brozovic (55'), Darmian (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 2-3 Cittadella
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
LecceDrawInter Milan
23.41% (0.041 0.04)23% (0.020999999999997 0.02)53.59% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.52% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)43.66% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95% (-0.055 -0.05)66.05% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.96% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)69.03% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.75% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)16.25% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.22% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)45.78% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 23.41%
    Inter Milan 53.59%
    Draw 22.99%
LecceDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 6.06% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.94% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.34% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 23.41%
1-1 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.28% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.94% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.28% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 53.59%

How you voted: Lecce vs Inter Milan

Lecce
15.2%
Draw
8.1%
Inter Milan
76.8%
99
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2020 2pm
Lecce
1-1
Inter Milan
Mancosu (77')
Donati (21'), Meccariello (93')
Bastoni (72')
Candreva (32'), Valero (88')
Aug 26, 2019 7.45pm
Inter Milan
4-0
Lecce
Brozovic (21'), Sensi (24'), Lukaku (60'), Candreva (84')
Martinez (40')

Petriccione (38'), Lapadula (52')
Farias (76')