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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Inter logo

Lecce
1 - 2
Inter Milan

Ceesay (48')
Baschirotto (32'), Blin (82'), Colombo (87'), Hjulmand (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lukaku (2'), Dumfries (90+4')
Brozovic (55'), Darmian (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 2-3 Cittadella
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Lecce 1-3 Inter Milan

Inter were clearly in good shape going forward during pre-season, but also showed signs of defensive vulnerability, so victory at Via del Mare should not be taken for granted. Though they may not keep a clean sheet, the Nerazzurri will still win on the opening night of their 2022-23 season, thanks to their abundant resources in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
LecceDrawInter Milan
23.41% (0.041 0.04) 23% (0.020999999999997 0.02) 53.59% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.52% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)43.66% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95% (-0.055 -0.05)66.05% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.96% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)69.03% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.75% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)16.25% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.22% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)45.78% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 23.41%
    Inter Milan 53.59%
    Draw 22.99%
LecceDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 6.06% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.94% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.34% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 23.41%
1-1 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.28% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.94% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.28% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 53.59%

How you voted: Lecce vs Inter Milan

Lecce
15.2%
Draw
8.1%
Inter Milan
76.8%
99
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2020 2pm
Lecce
1-1
Inter Milan
Mancosu (77')
Donati (21'), Meccariello (93')
Bastoni (72')
Candreva (32'), Valero (88')
Aug 26, 2019 7.45pm
Inter Milan
4-0
Lecce
Brozovic (21'), Sensi (24'), Lukaku (60'), Candreva (84')
Martinez (40')

Petriccione (38'), Lapadula (52')
Farias (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan33216664392569
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
7Lazio33164134235752
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza331110123543-843
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce33811143048-1835
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16Empoli3387182648-2231
17Udinese33416133150-1928
18FrosinoneFrosinone33610174063-2328
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
20Salernitana3329222670-4415


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