Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Federico Baschirotto 32' yellowcard
  • Assan Ceesay 48' goal
  • Alexis Blin 82' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Colombo 87' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 2'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 55'
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 63'
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 90'+4'

Lecce vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Aug 2, 2020 7.45pm
Lecce 3 - 4 Parma
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Gabriel Espeto

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
May 22, 2022 5.00pm
Inter Milan 3 - 0 Sampdoria
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result

Lecce 23.41% (+0.05)
Draw 23% (+0.03)
Inter Milan 53.59% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.52% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.34% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 43.66% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 33.95% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 66.05% (+0.06)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 67.49% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 32.51% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 30.96% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 69.03% (-0.01)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 83.75% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 16.25% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 54.22% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 45.78% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Lecce 23.41%
Draw 22.99%
Inter Milan 53.59%
Lecce
2-1 @ 6.06% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.94% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.34% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.27% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 23.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.78% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.28% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.99%
Inter Milan
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.6% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.72% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.94% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 5.28% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.4% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 53.59%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2020 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (Lecce)
  • Giulio Donati 21' yellowcard
  • Marco Mancosu 77' goal
  • Biagio Meccariello 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonio Candreva 32'
  • goal Alessandro Bastoni 72'
  • yellowcard Borja Valero 88'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 26, 2019 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Marcelo Brozovic 21' goal
  • Stefano Sensi 24' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 40' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 60' goal
  • Antonio Candreva 84' goal
  • yellowcard Jacopo Petriccione 38'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Lapadula 52'
  • redcard Diego Farias 76'