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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Inter logo

Lecce
1 - 2
Inter Milan

Ceesay (48')
Baschirotto (32'), Blin (82'), Colombo (87'), Hjulmand (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lukaku (2'), Dumfries (90+4')
Brozovic (55'), Darmian (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 2-3 Cittadella
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Lecce 1-3 Inter Milan

Inter were clearly in good shape going forward during pre-season, but also showed signs of defensive vulnerability, so victory at Via del Mare should not be taken for granted. Though they may not keep a clean sheet, the Nerazzurri will still win on the opening night of their 2022-23 season, thanks to their abundant resources in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
LecceDrawInter Milan
23.41% (0.041 0.04) 23% (0.020999999999997 0.02) 53.59% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.52% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.34% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)43.66% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.95% (-0.055 -0.05)66.05% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.96% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)69.03% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.75% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)16.25% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.22% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)45.78% (0.073 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 23.41%
    Inter Milan 53.59%
    Draw 22.99%
LecceDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 6.06% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.94% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.34% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 23.41%
1-1 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 5.28% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 9.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.94% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.28% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 53.59%

How you voted: Lecce vs Inter Milan

Lecce
15.2%
Draw
8.1%
Inter Milan
76.8%
99
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2020 2pm
Lecce
1-1
Inter Milan
Mancosu (77')
Donati (21'), Meccariello (93')
Bastoni (72')
Candreva (32'), Valero (88')
Aug 26, 2019 7.45pm
Inter Milan
4-0
Lecce
Brozovic (21'), Sensi (24'), Lukaku (60'), Candreva (84')
Martinez (40')

Petriccione (38'), Lapadula (52')
Farias (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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