Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 69.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 12.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-0 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Lugano	Draw	Inter Milan
12.88% ( 0.1)	18.1% ( 0.04)	69.02% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 52.25% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.95% (

0.06)

39.05% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.63% (

0.06)

61.37% (

-0.06)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.23% (

0.19)

41.77% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.76% (

0.17)

78.24% (

-0.16)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.74% (

-0.01)

10.26% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.38% (

-0.04)

33.62% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Lugano 12.88%

Inter Milan 69.02%

Draw 18.1%

Lugano	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.48% Total : 12.88%	1-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.1%	0-2 @ 11.11% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 8.43% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 7.36% 0-4 @ 4.8% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 4.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.91% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.53% Total : 69.02%