| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Salernitana | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 | Hellas Verona | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Spezia | 5 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Empoli | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Bologna | 5 | -3 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Empoli |
| 42.77% ( | 26.66% ( | 30.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.92% ( | 54.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.49% ( | 75.5% ( |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( | 25.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.28% ( | 59.72% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.61% ( | 32.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.09% ( | 68.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 3-1 @ 4.05% ( 3-0 @ 3.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 4-0 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.77% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 2-2 @ 4.94% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 2-3 @ 1.86% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.57% |