| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Empoli | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Salernitana | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Hellas Verona | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 41.63% ( | 28.26% ( | 30.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.89% ( | 60.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.68% ( | 80.32% ( |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% ( | 28.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.79% ( | 64.21% ( |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.08% ( | 35.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.3% ( | 72.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 1-0 @ 12.84% ( 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 3-0 @ 3.38% ( 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 4-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.68% Total : 41.63% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0-0 @ 10.21% ( 2-2 @ 4.23% ( Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.25% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0-2 @ 5.36% ( 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 2-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 30.1% |