| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Salernitana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sampdoria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Sassuolo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Atalanta BC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 55.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 21.83% ( | 22.89% ( | 55.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.06% ( | 44.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.71% ( | 67.29% ( |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( | 34.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.64% ( | 71.36% ( |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.88% ( | 16.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.46% ( | 45.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 5.92% ( 2-1 @ 5.73% ( 2-0 @ 3.14% ( 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 3-0 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 21.83% | 1-1 @ 10.8% 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 3-3 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.88% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-2 @ 9.3% ( 1-3 @ 6% 0-3 @ 5.66% ( 2-3 @ 3.18% ( 1-4 @ 2.74% 0-4 @ 2.58% ( 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 1-5 @ 1% 0-5 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 55.28% |