Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Parma
33.05% ( -0.29)	25.64% ( -0.16)	41.31% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 54.87% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.9% (

0.59)

49.09% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.83% (

0.53)

71.17% (

-0.54)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.79% (

0.1)

28.21% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.09% (

0.13)

63.9% (

-0.14)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.43% (

0.48)

23.57% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.37% (

0.7)

57.63% (

-0.7)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 33.05%

Parma 41.31%

Draw 25.63%

Salernitana	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.05%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.63%	0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.31%