| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 4 | -6 | 2 |
| 18 | Bologna | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 4 | -5 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sassuolo | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Salernitana | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Spezia | 4 | -4 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 54.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Salernitana |
| 54.53% ( | 23.88% ( | 21.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.56% ( | 49.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.52% ( | 71.47% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.98% ( | 18.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.1% ( | 48.89% ( |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.59% ( | 37.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.81% ( | 74.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Salernitana |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% ( 2-0 @ 9.9% ( 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 5.66% ( 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 4-2 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 3.42% Total : 54.53% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 2-2 @ 4.79% ( Other @ 1% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0-2 @ 3.26% ( 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.58% |