Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
  • Marko Arnautovic 52' goal
  • goal Boulaye Dia 88'

Bologna vs Salernitana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
AC Milan 2 - 0 Bologna
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Riccardo Orsolini

Salernitana

All competitions
Last game
Aug 28, 2022 5.30pm
Salernitana 4 - 0 Sampdoria
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Boulaye Dia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 54.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Bologna 54.53% (-0.03)
Draw 23.88% (+0.01)
Salernitana 21.58% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.31% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.56% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 49.43% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 28.52% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 71.47% (-0.02)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 81.98% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 18.01% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 51.1% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 48.89% (+0.01)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5 62.59% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 37.4% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 25.81% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 74.19% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Bologna 54.53%
Draw 23.87%
Salernitana 21.58%
Bologna
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.9% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 5.66% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 54.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (+0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.87%
Salernitana
0-1 @ 6.63% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.58% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.83% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 21.58%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 27
Feb 26, 2022 2.05pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Luca Ranieri 7' yellowcard
  • Lassana Coulibaly 70' yellowcard
  • Nadir Zortea 72' goal
  • Davide Nicola 74' yellowcard
  • goal Marko Arnautovic 43'
  • yellowcard Roberto Soriano 59'
  • yellowcard Marko Arnautovic 79'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo De Silvestri 82'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 22, 2021 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Roberto Soriano 41' yellowcard
  • Roberto Soriano 50' redcard
  • Jerdy Schouten 55' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo De Silvestri 59' goal
  • Marko Arnautovic 75' goal
  • Lorenzo De Silvestri 77' goal
  • Kevin Bonifazi 87' yellowcard
  • Jerdy Schouten 89' redcard
  • Nicola Sansone 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stefan Strandberg 33'
  • redcard Stefan Strandberg 34'
  • goal Federico Bonazzoli 52'
  • goal Mamadou Coulibaly 70'
  • yellowcard Pawel Jaroszynski 79'