Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.24%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.