Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Bologna and Cosenza Calcio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A
Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Atalanta BC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Cosenza 2-0 Vicenza
Friday, May 20 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, May 20 at 7.30pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Como | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Cosenza Calcio | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Cosenza Calcio |
47.13% ( 0.49) | 25.84% ( 0.02) | 27.02% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
