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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 8, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
1 - 0
Cosenza

Sansone (64')
Schouten (9'), Arnautovic (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Panico (36'), Venturi (87')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Bologna and Cosenza Calcio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

Last Six:
    Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Bologna
    Saturday, May 21 at 4.15pm in Serie A

    Cosenza Calcio

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Cosenza 2-0 Vicenza
      Friday, May 20 at 7.30pm in Serie B

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match.

      Result
      BolognaDrawCosenza Calcio
      47.13% (0.491 0.49)25.84% (0.018999999999998 0.02)27.02% (-0.509 -0.51)
      Both teams to score 51.03% (-0.432 -0.43)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      47.39% (-0.383 -0.38)52.61% (0.383 0.38)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      25.74% (-0.329 -0.33)74.26% (0.32899999999999 0.33)
      Bologna Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      77.68% (0.060999999999993 0.06)22.31% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      44.22% (0.091999999999999 0.09)55.78% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
      Cosenza Calcio Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      65.68% (-0.60900000000001 -0.61)34.31% (0.609 0.61)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      28.98% (-0.658 -0.66)71.02% (0.658 0.66)
      Score Analysis
          Bologna 47.13%
          Cosenza Calcio 27.02%
          Draw 25.84%
      BolognaDrawCosenza Calcio
      1-0 @ 11.48% (0.19 0.19)
      2-1 @ 9.21% (0.02 0.02)
      2-0 @ 8.61% (0.161 0.16)
      3-1 @ 4.61% (0.019 0.02)
      3-0 @ 4.31% (0.088 0.09)
      3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.031 -0.03)
      4-1 @ 1.73% (0.01 0.01)
      4-0 @ 1.62% (0.036 0.04)
      4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.01 -0.01)
      Other @ 2.18%
      Total : 47.13%
      		1-1 @ 12.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
      0-0 @ 7.66% (0.115 0.11)
      2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.072 -0.07)
      Other @ 0.97%
      Total : 25.84%
      		0-1 @ 8.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
      1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.107 -0.11)
      0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.079 -0.08)
      1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.078 -0.08)
      2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.055 -0.06)
      0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.055 -0.06)
      Other @ 2.22%
      Total : 27.02%

      How you voted: Bologna vs Cosenza

      Bologna
      84.2%
      Draw
      15.8%
      Cosenza Calcio
      0.0%
      19