| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Torino | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
| 68.05% ( | 19.19% ( | 12.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.63% ( | 44.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.25% ( | 66.75% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.99% ( | 12.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.53% ( | 37.47% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.63% ( | 45.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.77% ( | 81.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-0 @ 12.23% 1-0 @ 11.54% ( 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 8.65% ( 3-1 @ 6.83% ( 4-0 @ 4.58% ( 4-1 @ 3.62% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% 5-0 @ 1.94% ( 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 4-2 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 3.3% Total : 68.03% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.79% Total : 19.19% | 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 1-2 @ 3.61% 0-2 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.01% 1-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.19% Total : 12.76% |