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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Bologna logo

AC Milan
2 - 0
Bologna

Leao (21'), Giroud (58')
Calabria (66'), Adli (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Schouten (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Bologna

With little to offer by way of a goal threat, Arnautovic aside, Bologna cannot afford to concede too often this season. Milan's growing depth in the final third should see them break through at some stage, and the champions should then coast home to three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 71.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawBologna
71.06% (0.21600000000001 0.22) 18.34% (-0.11 -0.11) 10.59% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 43.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (0.194 0.19)46.23% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (0.182 0.18)68.52% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.28% (0.11499999999999 0.11)11.72% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.16% (0.244 0.24)36.84% (-0.241 -0.24)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.64% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)50.35% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.1% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)84.9% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 71.06%
    Bologna 10.59%
    Draw 18.34%
AC MilanDrawBologna
2-0 @ 13.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 12.65% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 9.69% (0.052 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.2% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.57% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.23% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.53% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 71.06%
1-1 @ 8.68% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 18.34%
0-1 @ 4.05% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 2.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.39% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 10.59%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Bologna

AC Milan
92.0%
Draw
8.0%
Bologna
0.0%
87
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 23, 2021 7.45pm
Bologna
2-4
AC Milan
Ibrahimovic (49' og.), Barrow (52')
Arnautovic (34')
Soumaoro (20'), Soriano (58')
Leao (16'), Calabria (35'), Bennacer (84'), Ibrahimovic (90')
Tonali (45+1'), Calabria (61'), Saelemaekers (67')
Jan 30, 2021 2pm
Bologna
1-2
AC Milan
Poli (81')
Dijks (24'), Soriano (56')
Mihajlovic (55')
Rebic (26'), Kessie (55' pen.)
Rebic (51')
Sep 21, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
2-0
Bologna
Ibrahimovic (35', 50' pen.)
Castillejo (40'), Krunic (86'), Gabbia (89')

Dominguez (18'), Dijks (31'), Tomiyasu (74'), Sansone (82')
Dijks (88')
Jul 18, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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