Serie A Gameweek 3
AC Milan
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Bologna
  • Rafael Leao 21' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 58' goal
  • Davide Calabria 66' yellowcard
  • Yacine Adli 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jerdy Schouten 56'

AC Milan vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Atalanta 1 - 1 AC Milan
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Bologna

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Bologna 1 - 1 Hellas Verona
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Riccardo Orsolini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 71.06%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 10.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.65%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result

AC Milan 71.06% ▲ (+0.22)
Draw 18.34% ▼ (-0.11)
Bologna 10.59% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.83% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.77% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 46.23% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 3.5 31.48% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 3.5 68.52% ▼ (-0.18)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 88.28% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 11.72% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 1.5 63.16% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 36.84% ▼ (-0.25)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5 49.64% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 50.35% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 15.1% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 84.9% ▲ (+0.06)

Score analysis

AC Milan 71.06%
Draw 18.34%
Bologna 10.59%
AC Milan
2-0 @ 13.56% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 12.65% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.31% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 71.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 18.34%
Bologna
0-1 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 10.59%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 31
AC Milan
Apr 4, 2022 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bologna
  • yellowcard Mitchell Dijks 41'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Orsolini 90'+8'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Bologna
Oct 23, 2021 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT
AC Milan
  • Adama Soumaoro 20' redcard
  • Marko Arnautovic 34' yellowcard
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 49' goal
  • Musa Barrow 52' goal
  • Roberto Soriano 58' redcard
  • goal Rafael Leao 16'
  • goal Davide Calabria 35'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Davide Calabria 61'
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 67'
  • goal Ismael Bennacer 84'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 90'
Serie A Gameweek 20
Bologna
Jan 30, 2021 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
AC Milan
  • Mitchell Dijks 24' yellowcard
  • Sinisa Mihajlovic 55' redcard
  • Roberto Soriano 56' yellowcard
  • Andrea Poli 81' goal
  • goal Ante Rebic 26'
  • yellowcard Ante Rebic 51'
  • goal Franck Kessie 55'
Serie A Gameweek 1
AC Milan
Sep 21, 2020 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Bologna
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 35' goal
  • Samu Castillejo 40' yellowcard
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 50' goal
  • Rade Krunic 86' yellowcard
  • Matteo Gabbia 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Dominguez 18'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Dijks 31'
  • yellowcard Takehiro Tomiyasu 74'
  • yellowcard Nicola Sansone 82'
  • redcard Mitchell Dijks 88'
Serie A Gameweek 34
AC Milan
Jul 18, 2020 8.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 1
FT Giuseppe Meazza
Bologna
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 10' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 24' goal
  • Ismael Bennacer 49' goal
  • Simon Kjaer 51' yellowcard
  • Alexis Saelemaekers 54' yellowcard
  • Ante Rebic 57' goal
  • Davide Calabria 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Nicola Sansone 35'
  • goal Takehiro Tomiyasu 44'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Bologna
Dec 8, 2019 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)
AC Milan
  • Mattia Bani 14' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 40' goal
  • Takehiro Tomiyasu 74' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Palacio 77' yellowcard
  • Federico Santander 81' yellowcard
  • Nicola Sansone 84' goal
  • goal Krzysztof Piatek 15'
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 21'
  • goal Theo Hernandez 32'
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 46'
  • yellowcard Alessio Romagnoli 83'

Form Data

Atalanta 1 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 4 - 2 Udinese
Vicenza 1 - 6 AC Milan
Marseille 0 - 2 AC Milan
Wolfsberger 0 - 5 AC Milan
Zalaegerszegi TE 3 - 2 AC Milan
Bologna 1 - 1 Hellas Verona
Lazio 2 - 1 Bologna
Bologna 1 - 0 Cosenza
Genoa 0 - 1 Bologna
Bologna 1 - 3 Sassuolo
Venezia 4 - 3 Bologna