Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 2

Aug 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
1 - 1
AC Milan

Malinovskyi (29')
Toloi (16'), Hateboer (48'), Djimsiti (78'), de Roon (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bennacer (68')
Pioli (23'), Rebic (45+1'), Tonali (75'), Hernandez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

Last Six:

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-2 Atalanta
Saturday, August 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	AC Milan	1	2	3
7	Atalanta BC	1	2	3
8	Fiorentina	1	1	3

AC Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: AC Milan 4-2 Udinese
Saturday, August 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Juventus	1	3	3
6	AC Milan	1	2	3
7	Atalanta BC	1	2	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.7%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	AC Milan
28.98% ( 0.03)	22.17% ( 0.01)	48.85% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 65.02% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.12% (

-0.03)

34.88% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.14% (

-0.03)

56.86% (

0.03)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24% (

23.76% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.09% (

57.91% (

-0)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.28% (

-0.02)

14.72% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.09% (

-0.04)

42.91% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 28.98%

AC Milan 48.85%

Draw 22.17%

Atalanta BC	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.18% 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.87% Total : 28.98%	1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.17%	1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.89% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.82% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.03% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.85%