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Serie A | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Milan logo

Atalanta
1 - 1
AC Milan

Malinovskyi (29')
Toloi (16'), Hateboer (48'), Djimsiti (78'), de Roon (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bennacer (68')
Pioli (23'), Rebic (45+1'), Tonali (75'), Hernandez (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atalanta BC 1-2 AC Milan

Always an intriguing match-up, these two sides have clearly defined modes of play and a strongly-held identity. Though pragmatic, Milan's is generally more effective, and they can prolong their winning run by outscoring opponents who can barely buy a win on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.7%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
28.98% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 22.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 48.85% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 65.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.12% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)34.88% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.14% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)56.86% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.24% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)57.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.28% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)14.72% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.09% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)42.91% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 28.98%
    AC Milan 48.85%
    Draw 22.17%
Atalanta BCDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 5.03% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 28.98%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.63%
0-0 @ 3.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 4.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 2.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 2.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.96% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 48.85%

How you voted: Atalanta vs AC Milan

Atalanta BC
14.3%
Draw
16.8%
AC Milan
68.9%
161
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 5pm
AC Milan
2-0
Atalanta
Leao (56'), Hernandez (75')
Giroud (44'), Kessie (67'), Bennacer (90+2')

Koopmeiners (53'), Malinovskyi (87')
Oct 3, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-3
AC Milan
Zapata (86' pen.), Pasalic (90+4')
de Roon (40')
Calabria (1'), Tonali (43'), Leao (78')
Diaz (42'), Tomori (52'), Messias (85'), Leao (88'), Pioli (90+4')
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
0-2
AC Milan

Freuler (47'), de Roon (69'), Toloi (86')
de Roon (90+1')
Kessie (43' pen., 90+2')
Mandzukic (82'), Krunic (90+1'), Dalot (90+2')
Jan 23, 2021 5pm
AC Milan
0-3
Atalanta

Hernandez (38'), Kessie (51')
Romero (26'), Ilicic (53' pen.), Zapata (77')
Gosens (84')
Jul 24, 2020 8.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna341712549272263
5Roma34178961412059
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio34174134335855
8Fiorentina331481150371350
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino341113103131046
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3487192650-2431
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3468204070-3026
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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