Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Haka had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Haka win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.