Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Oulu win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.