Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 46.63%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.