Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.