Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 53.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 22.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Lahti win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.