Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Haka had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Haka win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lahti in this match.