Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.61%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.